It's a new year, and a new Oscar race. This year looks as though it will be a fine year in cinema, but there's still plenty of time for a lot to fail and bomb. Since it's the beginning of the year, anything can be predicted, and it's all completely founded. Let's go for it, and see how close I'll be at the end of the year.
PICTURE
-Black Swan
-Blue Valentine
-Brighton Rock
-Fish Tank
-Get Low
-Inception***
-The Kids Are All Right
-The Rum Diary
-The Social Network
-Toy Story 3
DIRECTOR
-Andrea Arnold for Fish Tank
-David Clanfrance for Blue Valentine
-David Fincher for The Social Network
-Rowan Joffe for Brighton Rock
-Christopher Nolan for Inception***
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
-Johnny Depp for The Rum Diary
-Leonardo DiCaprio for Inception
-James Franco for Howl
-Ryan Gosling for Blue Valentine***
-Sam Riley for Brighton Rock
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
-Annette Benning for The Kids Are All Right***
-Andrea Riseborough for Brighton Rock
-Katie Jarvis for Fish Tank
-Natalie Portman for Black Swan
-Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
-Christian Bale for The Fighter***
-Michael Fassbender for Fish Tank
-Bill Murray for Get Low
-Giovanni Ribsi for The Rum Diary
-Mark Ruffalo The Kids Are All Right
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
-Marion Cotilard for Inception
-Anna Marie-Duff for Nowhere Boy***
-Mila Kunis for Black Swan
-Helen Mirren for Brighton Rock
-Julianne Moore for The Kids Are All Right
WRITING (ORIGINAL)
-Andrea Arnold for Fish Tank
-Darren Aronofsky & Mark Heyman for Black Swan
-Stuart Blumberg & Lisa Cholodenko for The Kids Are All Right
-David Cianfrance, Joey Curtis, & Cami Delavigne for Blue Valentine
-Christopher Nolan for Inception***
WRITING (ADAPTED)
-Joel & Ethan Coen for True Grit
-Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini for Winter's Bone
-Bruce Robinson for The Rum Diary
-Aaron Sorkin for The Social Network
-????? for Brighton Rock***
ANIMATED FILM
-Pierre Coffin & Chris Renaud for Despicable Me
-Chris Sanders & Dean DeBois for How to Train Your Dragon
-Lee Unkrich for Toy Story 3***
FILM EDITING
-Andrew Weisblum for Black Swan
-Jim Helton & Ron Patane for Blue Valentine
-Pamela Martin for The Fighter
-Lee Smith for Inception***
-Thelma Schoomaker for Shutter Island
CINEMATOGRAPHY
-????? for Brighton Rock
-Wally Pfister for Inception***
-John Mathieson for Robin Hood
-Emmanuel Lubezki for The Tree of Life
-Robert Richardson for True Grit
ART DIRECTION
-Guy Dyas & Larry Dias for Agora
-Robert Stromberg, Karen O'Hara, & Peter Young for Alice in Wonderland
-????? for Brighton Rock***
-????? for Get Low
-Arthur Max & Sonja Laus for Robin Hood
COSTUME DESIGN
-Gabriella Pescucci for Agora***
-Coleen Atwood for Alice in Wonderland
-Julie Weiss for Get Low
-Jarty Yates for Robin Hood
-Julie Weiss for Shanghai
ORIGINAL SCORE
-????? for \Brighton Rock
-Jan A.P. Kaczmarek for Get Low
-Hans Zimmer for Inception***
-Randy Newman for Toy Story 3
-Carter Burwell for True Grit
ORIGINAL SONG
-Alice in Wonderland
-Blue Valentine
-Greenberg
-Shrek Forever After
-Toy Story 3***
VISUAL EFFECTS
-Inception
-Iron Man 2***
-Tron Legacy
MAKE UP
-Alice in Wonderland ***
-The Last Airbender
-A Nightmare on Elm Street
SOUND MIXING
-Green Zone
-Inception
-Iron Man 2
-Toy Story 3***
-Tron Legacy
SOUND EDITING
-Iron Man 2***
-Inception
-The Last Airbender
-Toy Story 3
-Tron Legacy